Veronika Koudriavtseva presents the interdisciplinary method of prognostication on the base of the imitative model of rhythmic processes of self-organizing system within the framework of innovative theory of cycles. In case of their application and development, they can contribute to the formation of a new science. The new theory of cycles embodies the well-known theory of business cycles and owing to more precise astronomical knowledge gives a possibility to create the imitative model of cyclicity, of rhythmic processes in self-organizing system and to prognosticate its development with indication of the exact calendarian periods of realization of important trends, events, including crises.
The theory is based on the fact that all fundamental terrestrial processes are rhythmical, and the formation of climate, life activity of a person, of society, economy and culture is put into effect into our planet according to the beat of the “cosmic pulse”. As A. Chizhevskiy confirmed: “Life... is in much more degree the cosmic phenomenon, than terrestrial. It is created by the influence of creative dynamics of the Cosmos on an inert material of the Earth. It lives by dynamics of these forces, and each beat of organic pulse is co-ordinated with the beat of cosmic heart – with this grandiose set of nebulas, stars, Sun, planets". /1, p. 299/.
The scientist noted that during a large period of time of influence of cosmic forces on the Earth, certain cycles of phenomena have been consolidated, and they are repeated periodically in both space and time. In this infinite number of rises and falls of various sizes, the common world heartbeat, the great dynamics of Nature are reflected, and various parts of the Nature resonate with each other in harmony. /2, p. 33, 34/. In different continents, in different countries, among different people ... the key moments of their live history were tended to be in synchronicity ... This allows us to consider each cycle of historical events of world historical process as universal. /2, p. 27/.
The scientist noted that during a large period of time of influence of cosmic forces on the Earth, certain cycles of phenomena have been consolidated, and they are repeated periodically in both space and time. In this infinite number of rises and falls of various sizes, the common world heartbeat, the great dynamics of Nature are reflected, and various parts of the Nature resonate with each other in harmony. /2, p. 33, 34/. In different continents, in different countries, among different people ... the key moments of their live history were tended to be in synchronicity ... This allows us to consider each cycle of historical events of world historical process as universal. /2, p. 27/.
Objective rhythms impose themselves upon humanity from the objectively existing planetary system, and they form the basis of astronomical time. A human body, a human community as a self-organizing system complies with the rhythmic regularity, and their vital activity is in concord with the respective astronomical time. Therefore, even in ancient times one of reasons of such deep and stable interest of scientists for astronomical observations was the intention to organize a social and economic life in harmony with substantial rhythms of the biosphere.
The hypothesis about the concrete mechanism of influence of the Cosmos on society existence, on socio-political and individual human life, principles of concordance etc., the imitative model of rhythmic processes of a self-organizing system and the respective interdisciplinary method of prognostication were fundamentally proved by the author in the thesis for PhD in social sciences “Methodological basics of social prognostication (the approach of the Universe)” (Minsk, Belarus, 2001). The proposed scientific hypothesis was characterised by a new sight at such phenomena, as rhythm (or cycle), synchronism, resonance, time organisation. Therefore, the scientific language of “engineering simulation and modelling” and the methodology, in which a rhythmic development of a self-organizing system was described, can be applicable practically to any of terrestrial processes.
The author's prognostic technology is based on the method of trends, the theory of cycles and the imitative modelling in a context of the approach of the Universe. Trend equation is based on cycles of movement of celestial bodies of the solar system, and these cyclic movements are coordinated with the cyclic changes in nature and society owing to special regimes of synchronization. In the imitative model celestial bodies are considered as material points (factors of setting rhythm) signifying autonomous generators of rhythms of movement and possessing own cyclic frequency of motion and forming in total a set of rhythms of motion of slowly oscillating processes in a system. Slowly oscillating processes include practically all the biological, social and geological processes, which have their starting point of the beginning of unfolding of cycles over time in a self-organizing system.
The hypothesis about the concrete mechanism of influence of the Cosmos on society existence, on socio-political and individual human life, principles of concordance etc., the imitative model of rhythmic processes of a self-organizing system and the respective interdisciplinary method of prognostication were fundamentally proved by the author in the thesis for PhD in social sciences “Methodological basics of social prognostication (the approach of the Universe)” (Minsk, Belarus, 2001). The proposed scientific hypothesis was characterised by a new sight at such phenomena, as rhythm (or cycle), synchronism, resonance, time organisation. Therefore, the scientific language of “engineering simulation and modelling” and the methodology, in which a rhythmic development of a self-organizing system was described, can be applicable practically to any of terrestrial processes.
The author's prognostic technology is based on the method of trends, the theory of cycles and the imitative modelling in a context of the approach of the Universe. Trend equation is based on cycles of movement of celestial bodies of the solar system, and these cyclic movements are coordinated with the cyclic changes in nature and society owing to special regimes of synchronization. In the imitative model celestial bodies are considered as material points (factors of setting rhythm) signifying autonomous generators of rhythms of movement and possessing own cyclic frequency of motion and forming in total a set of rhythms of motion of slowly oscillating processes in a system. Slowly oscillating processes include practically all the biological, social and geological processes, which have their starting point of the beginning of unfolding of cycles over time in a self-organizing system.
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Seneca, Epiktet and Marcus Aurelius adduced many proofs of the coordination between processes occurring in the Universe and human life. Posidoniy has interpreted the fact of the dependence of ebbs and flows from the Moon’s position, i.e. from its rhythm of movement, as the proof of the influence of the planets on our life. Hippocrates has expounded the advantages of the theory about the rhythms of planets in connection with the diagnostics, forecasting and treatment of diseases in his work «About air, water and localities». He considered that the external nature, climatic and seasonal factors influence on the physiological presentations of organism, on the cast of mental abilities.
For ancient scientists the rhythm, time, spatial measurements and Cosmos represent a single whole reality and were examined conjointly. The founder of the English materialism and of methodology of experimental science Francis Bacon was interested in cosmic rhythms and their influence on the terrestrial processes during all his life, and he urged to keep this knowledge in his work «About advantage and augmentation of sciences». He considered that it is necessary to analyse the ancient scientific knowledge of Cosmic influences in depth and to reject resolutely everything that takes effect of evident contradiction with physical basics and to keep and to heighten by the authority of scientific tradition all that comes to an agreement of scientific opinion. It was doubtless for him, that heavenly bodies possessed also some other forms of influence, except an emanation of heat and light, which however can reflect certain laws. However, in his view, all this is deeply hidden in penetralia of the nature and demands more detailed researches and discussions.
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The modern knowledge allows to carry out these detailed researches due to the scientific achievements in the theory of synchronisation, in the theory of systems (including theories of systems of automatic control), to the works, devoted to study of properties of time, to the mathematical apparatus of laws of harmony and symmetry etc. And ingenious scientists tried to get into penetralia of the nature formerly. Based on the ancient idea of cosmic cycles I. Kepler and Tikho Braghe have began to apply astronomical calculations more actively. Kepler has stated the respective results of his researches in the capital work «Harmony of the World». In attempt to find the scientific numerical explanations to the ancient knowledge, he discovered the Third Law of planetary movements.
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Isaak Newton and Albert Einstein showed quite concrete interest to knowledge of the cosmic cyclicity.
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The brilliant scientist was Nikola Tesla, who pondered over the time and the resonance including them in cosmic scale. In his view, the resonance is the coincidence in time of numerous and various events, the synchronization of their development, harmonization, association, as a result of which their extraordinary complex appears. /4/ . |
It is necessary to emphasize works of representatives of "Russian cosmism" or "antropocosmism" (N. Fedorov, V. Solovyev, P. Florenskiy, N. Berdyaev, V. Vernadskiy, K. Tsiolkovskiy, A.Chizhevskiy, etc.), who considered evolution of man and society as an organic part of natural cosmic processes and in many respects anticipated the formation of new scientific view of the world. Let us do honour to scientific deed of A.Chizhevskiy, who ventured to throw down the challenge to dominating representation about the autonomy of life on the Earth in the Universe, about originality of the organic world and its independence of all the rest over-planetary world. If N. Kopernik has put the Earth into the Sky, - has ranked it among heavenly bodies, G. Galiley has allowed to see all beauty and depth of the Sky owing to invention of telescope, then A. Chizhevskiy has attached "heavenly" status to the organic terrestrial life owing to his theory about influence of cyclic activity of the star Sun on the world-historical process. Nowadays the noted Russian sociologist V. Nemirovskiy elaborates in sociology successfully the “Universum paradigm” which considers society as an integral part of the highly organized Universe. /5/
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Besides, it is significant that the theory of cycles is known in the world science, only without its interconnection with the cosmic cycles. For example, N. Kondratyev's teaching about big cycles of conjuncture in economic and in adjacent spheres of social life has gained the greatest popularity in the world and has been backed by arguments of I. Shumpeter. They considered the crises as an inevitable phase in the cyclic dynamics of systems in nature and society, proposed by A. Bogdanov before. And at the same time N. Kondratyev has formulated the possibility of forecast of future crises. The interest to his theory of economic cycles of conjuncture was urged on by the world crisis in the middle of 70th years and by sequences of deep transformations of society, following after the crisis.
Recently the world economy was also passing by the deep crisis. The practical use of the theory of cycles has been complicated because of complexity and inaccuracy of definition of the initial moment of counting out of cycle and absence of an unified mathematical model of description of cyclic dynamics, absence of wide informative database of cycles and of their combinations taking into consideration the polycyclic nature of development, because of non readiness of an accurate methodology of carrying out of scientific researches, because of impossibility «to guide at sharpness» a forecast on the precise time of its realisation. Besides knowledge of cycles has the practical value when the matter concerns not only the development of general character as a whole in economics, but also concerns the concrete system (for example - independent State, enterprise). And the knowledge of the traditional theory of cycles has not been elaborated fully.
Recently the world economy was also passing by the deep crisis. The practical use of the theory of cycles has been complicated because of complexity and inaccuracy of definition of the initial moment of counting out of cycle and absence of an unified mathematical model of description of cyclic dynamics, absence of wide informative database of cycles and of their combinations taking into consideration the polycyclic nature of development, because of non readiness of an accurate methodology of carrying out of scientific researches, because of impossibility «to guide at sharpness» a forecast on the precise time of its realisation. Besides knowledge of cycles has the practical value when the matter concerns not only the development of general character as a whole in economics, but also concerns the concrete system (for example - independent State, enterprise). And the knowledge of the traditional theory of cycles has not been elaborated fully.
On the basis of the analysis of the imitative rhythmic model of the USA, worked out by the author, the forecast about the crisis dynamics of dollar in 2008, and consequently - about probability of world crisis, had been suggested by the author at the beginning of 2002 in the Byelorussian mass media (the republican newspaper «Zvyazda» №№ 299-300 (24678-24679) from 24.12.2002), and then had been reported by the Russian TV news program "Segodnya" on 10.03.2003 prime time of NTV channel and by the Byelorussian TV program "Konturi" in 2002 on the main channel ONT.
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The innovative method of prognostication had been applied in government organizations and institutions, in the project involved in UNESCO. The author had carried out an experimental verification of her method in the State institutions and structures in Belarus: in activity of the Chamber of Representatives of the National Assembly of Republic of Belarus; in the project “Castle Complex “Mir” in a context of inclusion of this object in the List of the World Heritage of the UNESCO, that was carried out by the Committee of protection of historical and cultural heritage (the Ministry of Culture of Belarus); in economic activity of the Swedish company Energi&Fastighetsteknik AB. The author possesses Certificates of application of the method from these organizations and an album of the television programs on CD.
Various forecasts of the author according to her methodology, which were previously published in mass media of Belarus, had been proved to be true. In particular, in the Certificate of application of the innovative method of social prognostication of the republican newspaper «Zvyazda» the fact of its practical application is confirmed in publications of prognoses from 07/01/1994 to 08/11/2000 (total of 28 articles) concerning dynamics and tendencies of future development of sociopolitical situation both in Belarus and abroad. High level of verification of forecasts, made by the author, had been noted by editors of newspaper «Zvyazda», who had established the fact, that elaborated by V. Koudriavtseva the innovative method of social prognostication has shown high efficiency at forecasting of social, political and economic changes in Belarus and beyond its confines». /6, Application/
During the work of the author at her PhD thesis the proposed methodology has passed the verification on the analysis of historical past of the USA, the United Kingdom of Great Britain, Northern Ireland and Spain /7/, taking into consideration the similar historical approach of A.Chizhevskiy in his research /1/.
Various forecasts of the author according to her methodology, which were previously published in mass media of Belarus, had been proved to be true. In particular, in the Certificate of application of the innovative method of social prognostication of the republican newspaper «Zvyazda» the fact of its practical application is confirmed in publications of prognoses from 07/01/1994 to 08/11/2000 (total of 28 articles) concerning dynamics and tendencies of future development of sociopolitical situation both in Belarus and abroad. High level of verification of forecasts, made by the author, had been noted by editors of newspaper «Zvyazda», who had established the fact, that elaborated by V. Koudriavtseva the innovative method of social prognostication has shown high efficiency at forecasting of social, political and economic changes in Belarus and beyond its confines». /6, Application/
During the work of the author at her PhD thesis the proposed methodology has passed the verification on the analysis of historical past of the USA, the United Kingdom of Great Britain, Northern Ireland and Spain /7/, taking into consideration the similar historical approach of A.Chizhevskiy in his research /1/.
The advantages of this innovative prognostic methodology also consist of possibility to define high probability and calendarian periods of advent of conflicts (from coups d'etat to international wars). So, it could be possible “to open doors” in clearer future and to define prospects of international cooperation, evolution of one or another States and persons in world processes, and also to create both scenarios of the global future, and a scenario of State development during the periods of peace and conflict.
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Knowledge of the PhD thesis, of the methodology of prognostication by imitative rhythmic model is important and timely for medicine, for developing the theme of prediction and prevention. The proposed new service belongs to a new type of medicine, which was emerged recently – to the predictive medicine. There are several definitions of the predictive medicine, each of them reflects one or more fields of investigations. In general, the prevailing approach of the predictive medicine tends in probabilistic terms to discovery and evaluate the factors, that may favour onset of a disease for a specific person and in a given context before and/or after a person’s birth. The field of genetic engineering is well known and allows to define the probability of certain predisposition to develop a disease. The proposed rhythmic field also allows to define the strengths and weaknesses of the human organism with cheaper means, but what is more important – it allows to define the maximum probability of an onset of the disease in the predictable calendarian period and can be combined with genetic engineering. This allows to structure the theme of predictability making use of innovative methods on the innate rhythmicity of an organism, suggesting the new formulation of predictive medicine.
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All fundamental processes in space, biosphere, nature and society are rhythmical. But the difficulty of understanding of this fact by a person consists that such processes are realized physiologically out of his consciousness, co-ordinating with rhythms of a brain, with physiological rhythms and with some cosmic rhythms.
It’s widely known that the process of development of the human organism undergoes a complex interlacement of vital cycles and rhythms, which are different in their frequency and dynamics. The interaction between internal and external factors of development creates a complex picture of pulses of life, which is characterized by a continuous spectrum of vital rhythms and cycles of man. Vital rhythms of man do not exist in isolation and form an unified oscillating system with biorhythms of nature and Cosmos. /8, p. 255/ All alive is organized rhythmically not only in itself but also in the process of interaction with the environment..
It’s widely known that the process of development of the human organism undergoes a complex interlacement of vital cycles and rhythms, which are different in their frequency and dynamics. The interaction between internal and external factors of development creates a complex picture of pulses of life, which is characterized by a continuous spectrum of vital rhythms and cycles of man. Vital rhythms of man do not exist in isolation and form an unified oscillating system with biorhythms of nature and Cosmos. /8, p. 255/ All alive is organized rhythmically not only in itself but also in the process of interaction with the environment..
In astronomy during 2500 years of development a large number of cyclic processes have been identified and studied, each of which could form the basis of determination of objective time and units to measure it. On the historical path of development of the human reason the preference was given to three processes – to the Earth's rotation around its axis (circadian rhythm), to the rotary motion of the Moon around the Earth (weekly and monthly rhythms were monitored by phases of its movement) and to the rotary motion of the Earth around the Sun (annual rhythm). But it must be remembered that there are other rhythms in the biosphere, which relate to the movement of other celestial bodies of our solar system, and that also had constituted the basis of various ancient calendars. The genesis of calendarian systems is the result of astronomical observations of very long duration and of comparison of them to various biological and social phenomena. The life of society and human organism is consistent with astronomical time, which is based on the cyclic processes of the planetary system.
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Rhythms constitute the basis of the biological clock, and they are caused by cyclical changes of geophysical factors, create a “sense of time” in many biological systems, from simple to highly organized. A. Winfrey believed that natural selection could favour those creatures, internal dynamics of which is adapted better for the period of rotation of a planet of the solar system than at their less successful rivals, now extinct." /9, p. 175/...
The idea of the interrelationship of vital rhythms of a human body with the “cosmic pulse” may be found in the medical works of Avicenna, Hippocrates, Galen and others. The modern imitative model of rhythmic processes in self-organizing system regards also a human body and allows to define an exact calendarian period of regularities and irregularities in an organism and of biological manifestations of disease. |
The advantage of the rhythmic approach is in the fact that it allows do not only answer the question of a certain predisposition to develop a disease, but also the question of "when": by the imitative rhythmic model to define the exact calendarian period of emergence of the disease at initial stage, the period of the effective treatment or operation according to harmonic rhythms of organism.
These innovative health services imply the choice of better individual date for operation according to harmonic rhythms of the organism within the period prescribed by a physician, the choice of better individual date for preventive medical examination or for effective and timely treatment, elements of medical diagnostics and of preventive measures of diseases. New centres of researches and health services could be combined with traditional genetic and other health centres.
A great potential of application of the innovative rhythmic method exists in prognostication of possible calendarian period of emergence of cancer and other dangerous diseases at initial stage, in effective treatment in timely suitable time or in prevention. Applying this method in the field of human reproductive technologies it may increase a probability of successful conception.
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These innovative health services imply the choice of better individual date for operation according to harmonic rhythms of the organism within the period prescribed by a physician, the choice of better individual date for preventive medical examination or for effective and timely treatment, elements of medical diagnostics and of preventive measures of diseases. New centres of researches and health services could be combined with traditional genetic and other health centres.
A great potential of application of the innovative rhythmic method exists in prognostication of possible calendarian period of emergence of cancer and other dangerous diseases at initial stage, in effective treatment in timely suitable time or in prevention. Applying this method in the field of human reproductive technologies it may increase a probability of successful conception.
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Bibliography
1. Chizhevskiy A. Cosmic Pulse of Life: the Earth in embrace of the Sun Gelioteraksy. - Moscow: Misl, 1995. - pp. 768.
2. Chizhevskiy A. The terrestrial echo of solar storms. - Moscow, Mysl, 1976. - 368.
3. Jung K. Archetype and Symbol. - Moscow: Martis, 1991, pp. 296.
4. Tesla N. My inventions Electrical Experimenter. N. Y., 1919.
5. Nemirovskiy V. Introduction to the Theoretical Sociology. The Paradigm of the Universum: Tutorial. - Krasnoyarsk: the Krasnoyarsk State University, 1991, pp. 124.
6. Koudriavtseva V. Methodological basis of social prognostication (the approach of the Universe). // Thesis for the Ph.D. in sociology, Minsk, 2001. / the Belarusian State University. - Minsk, 2001, pp. 128.
7. Koudriavtseva V. The Principles of Cosmonomia: monograph. - Minsk: "Bestprint", 2001, pp. 144.
8. Aleksandrov I. A. The cosmic phenomenon of man: a man in anthropic world. - Moscow: Publishing House "Hagar", 1999, pp. 432.
9. Winfrey A. T. Time by the biological clock. - Moscow: Mir, 1990, pp. 208.
2. Chizhevskiy A. The terrestrial echo of solar storms. - Moscow, Mysl, 1976. - 368.
3. Jung K. Archetype and Symbol. - Moscow: Martis, 1991, pp. 296.
4. Tesla N. My inventions Electrical Experimenter. N. Y., 1919.
5. Nemirovskiy V. Introduction to the Theoretical Sociology. The Paradigm of the Universum: Tutorial. - Krasnoyarsk: the Krasnoyarsk State University, 1991, pp. 124.
6. Koudriavtseva V. Methodological basis of social prognostication (the approach of the Universe). // Thesis for the Ph.D. in sociology, Minsk, 2001. / the Belarusian State University. - Minsk, 2001, pp. 128.
7. Koudriavtseva V. The Principles of Cosmonomia: monograph. - Minsk: "Bestprint", 2001, pp. 144.
8. Aleksandrov I. A. The cosmic phenomenon of man: a man in anthropic world. - Moscow: Publishing House "Hagar", 1999, pp. 432.
9. Winfrey A. T. Time by the biological clock. - Moscow: Mir, 1990, pp. 208.
Nowadays the subject of researches of the author is a perspective of application of an imitative rhythmic model of a self-organizing system, which had been discussed in thesis, in prognostication of crises in economic and social life and of crises in the health state of biological human body so that timely preventive measures can be taken. The purpose of the research is to develop an innovative interdisciplinary scientific methodology in socio-economic sphere, to apply it in promising Predictive Medicine and to form consistently a new scientific branch about rhythms and cycles, which studies the vital activity of man, of society and nature in a common global reality. The objectives of researches are to use the innovative methodology for prognosis of the exact calendarian periods of world economic crises, of local economic and social crises of States and to define the resources of time for prevention; as well as to use it for the creation of a new type of medical services on prognostication of the probable calendarian periods of onset of the disease, which is in predisposition, with the intent of a timely medical examination; on planning the resource of time for a medical operation and for a postoperative period exactly by calendar, especially in the fields of oncology and reproductive technologies, taking into consideration an individual harmonious state of rhythms of organism.
But the new science presupposes its application in vast areas: in sociology and politics, Public relations, in psychology, educational branch, in economics and management, in medicine, in criminology, in the Field of Security, in Nature Science, in counseling with prognoses for personality etc. Only that science can have pretensions of revelation of the essence of the world which is capable except to analyse and determine essential points, also to give forecast or scenario of the development of events with sufficiently accurate dates or time periods.
But the new science presupposes its application in vast areas: in sociology and politics, Public relations, in psychology, educational branch, in economics and management, in medicine, in criminology, in the Field of Security, in Nature Science, in counseling with prognoses for personality etc. Only that science can have pretensions of revelation of the essence of the world which is capable except to analyse and determine essential points, also to give forecast or scenario of the development of events with sufficiently accurate dates or time periods.
International recognition and diffusion
Valentin Nemirovskiy
The well-known Russian sociologist, Professor, The Dean of the Faculty of Sociology of the State University of Krasnoyarsk, the Vice-President of the Association of Sociologists of Siberia (Russian Federation), the Associate Member of the Russian Academy of humanities V. Nemirovskiy refers to the research of the Principal Investigator in his publications: General Sociology. - Rostov/n/D: Fenix, 2004, pp. 63-64; Secret organizations in the context of social change. The Post-non-Classical approach: monograph. - Krasnoyarsk: the Krasnoyarsk State University, 2006, p. 63; The Russian crisis in the mirror of the Post-non-Classical Sociology: monograph. - Moscow: House "Librokom Book", 2009, p. 179; Secret societies and conspirators. Where they lead Russia: monograph. - St. Petersburg, 2007, pp. 218, 223; Sociology. - Moscow: Prospekt, 2010, p. 407; The Theoretical-methodological Foundations of Post-non-Classical Approaches in the Contemporary Russian Sociology // Humanities & Social Sciences: Journal of Siberian Federal University. Humanities. - № 1. - Krasnoyarsk: Siberian Federal University, 2008, p. 87; The Interdisciplinary Perspectives of the Contemporary Post-non-Classical Sociology // The International Journal of Interdisciplinary Social Sciences. – Vol. 2. - No. 1. - 2007, p. 71; The Paradigm of the Universum of contemporary Russian sociology as a perspective of development / Sociology. № 1. Minsk, BSU, 2004, p. 48; Socio-cultural Specifics of Siberian Residents. Ideas of the Meaning of Life and Attitude to Death at the End of the XX Century and at the Beginning of the XXI Century Within the Framework of Post-non-Classical Approach // Humanities & Social Sciences: Journal of Siberian Federal University. Humanities. - Krasnoyarsk: Siberian Federal University, 2010. - Vol.3. - № 1. - p. 67; V. Nemirovskiy, D. Nevirko. Sociology of Rights. Approaches from the classical to post-non-Classical: Monograph - Moscow. URSS, 2007, p. 86.
Alexander Subetto
In the research review for the thesis of Veronika Koudriavtseva, Professor, PhD in economics, the Vice-President of the Academy of Sciences and Arts (St. Petersburg, Russia), the Director of the Centre for Monitoring and scientific studies of the State University of Kostroma (Russia) Alexander Subetto claims: "The research of V. Koudriavtseva is in the course of such flow of development of sociological science, at the source of which there were well–known thinkers such as V.I. Vernadskiy, P. Sorokin, N. D. Kondratiev, A. L. Chizhevskiy and others. Undoubted the dignity of the scientific work consists of the fact that the imitative rhythmic model of prognostication has been offered, in which the function of setting rhythm of natural-cosmic processes associated through resonance with social-historical events in different points of the Earth, is used …Facts of practical application of the author's method testify to the possibility of a broad introduction of the proposed technology of prognostication”.
Svyatoslav Grigoryev
In the research review for the thesis, Academic, the Associate Member of the Russian Academy of Sciences, the Dean of the Faculty of Sociology of the State University of Altai (Barnaul, Russia) Svyatoslav Grigoryev claims: "The Frontier scientific research and methods of forecasting, proposed by V. Koudriavtseva, are oriented first of all on the global level of prognostication, that at the present it has become a key problem of searching for the optimum strategy of public development in XXI century. Moreover due consideration is given to a national-cultural, local development of a State”.